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Yahoo

Yahoo emailed users of their Yahoo Mail system today to endorse the new Microsoft Internet Explorer 8 with encouragement to download and install the new browser.

This makes no sense for Yahoo. Why would Yahoo suggest to users to use IE over Firefox?

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But, Yahoo offers web-based software to millions of users across the globe. Why would they care or endorse one over the other? Simple, Yahoo trying to warm up to Microsoft again. And this is an easy way to project less hostility toward Redmond.

Yahoo and Microsoft are yesterday's brands and they are seeing tons of innovation happening online, in mobile, and with desktops apps that they have influence on. Those two fighting each others is no more helpful their careers than seeing two former — aging and overweight — championship boxers go toe-to-toe in the ring. It's fun to watch for five minute, but more to stoke the conversation about what they used to be, not what they are right now.

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Yesterday Steve Ballmer told the Financial Times that now is a great time to strike a deal with Yahoo. Citing that both companies are going through a transition — Microsoft appointing someone to run their online business and yahoo searching for a new CEO — making it a good time to tie the knot.

“We now have someone in place running our online business, and Yahoo’s out looking for a CEO,” Ballmer said. “If a search deal is to be made, it’s probably to be made in the interim period for new leaders in both places.”

I like Yahoo, which is why I keep hoping there is a way they can be relevant again without Microsoft. It's kinda like when you see a really cute girl dating a thug — you wonder why. Yahoo is a cute girl and I think they deserve better than Microsoft.

Yahoo has tried to save themselves a few times and they keep failing. Frankly, there is no one out there big enough for the undertaking of saving Yahoo. Microsoft might be their only real hope.

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The Deal is Dead

November 5, 2008

in General

And Yahoo seems to be a bit miffed about it.

Yahoo! Inc. (Nasdaq: YHOO), a leading global Internet company, today announced that Google has terminated the advertising services agreement the companies announced in June. Yahoo! continues to believe in the benefits of the agreement and is disappointed that Google has elected to withdraw from the agreement rather than defend it in court.

Google’s dominance in the search space is not the least bit in doubt. But Google didn’t really need to have this deal in the way that Yahoo needed to have this deal. Google was doing it to fend of Microsoft, whereas Yahoo was doing it to try to stay relevant in the search space.

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Earlier today, Google and Yahoo announced they are going to put their awaited agreement/business deal on hold for the near future to allow the Department of Justice to review the deal. The deal would have done two main things: one, outsourced Yahoo’s SEM advertising to Google, and two, give Yahoo a mountain of (needed) cash. Some estimate the deal would be upwards of $1 billion per year for Yahoo.

Some are against the deal, claiming that it would create a near monopoly on search ads for Google and increase the overall cost of search engine advertising. Both points are essentially wrong.

First, does it create a near monopoly for search ads?
Yes and no. It would mean upwards of 90% of all search ads would be run through Google’s paid advertising platform. But it doesn’t quite make it monopoly. Yes, I am splitting hairs a bit here, but follow me for a moment.

When Microsoft reached near-monopoly status, it did so by purchasing other companies to put them out of business. They absorbed the other companies into the hive-mind that is Microsoft and the former brand ceased to exist. Some part of the technology the other company might show up as a feature in a Microsoft product, but let’s face it, they closed the market with their massive checkbook.

In this case, Google is not looking to absorb Yahoo or shut it down. It’s simply going to feed text ads into Yahoo for related searches. People that use Yahoo now will still use Yahoo and may not even notice a big difference, outside of an "Ads by Google" tick that will likely be shown somewhere on the page. User will not be directed away from Yahoo.

Also consider that one reason Google wants to do this is to make sure Microsoft can’t get their hands on Yahoo.

Based on that, I don’t think that reaches monopoly status fears.

Second, will this rise advertising costs for search engine ads?
Ad rates may increase, but not because of this deal. Ad rates are determined by how many advertisers are bidding on keywords, not by the engines themselves. Advertisers that bid in both engines sometimes see lower prices in Yahoo for some terms if the term happens to have lower competition. But advertisers have to spend extra time managing ads in two different platforms. Honestly, it’s a small art form (and sometimes frustrating) to keep campaigns in different engines aligned. Having it all run from one platform will save time and frustration for advertisers and agencies that run campaigns for clients. Agencies often have to invest in either a platform like Acquisio, or build some home brew version to manage the strain. Getting ride of some of that would be a huge bonus to the process of online advertising.

The main reason I would like to see this deal happen is simple: panama sucked. Panama was the code name Yahoo gave to the project that was to overhaul and revamp their ad platform. They knew their platform was not as easy to use as Google and was not as powerful. Simple things like running reports was tedious. So they started Panama.

Quite frankly, even though Yahoo knew what was wrong, Panama took way too long and probably cost Yahoo too much money, to rebuild a system that is still not as good as they AdWords system. And the kicker is, they knew what needed fixing but still didn’t quite get there.

I’m not saying Google isn’t becoming a monopoly. Quite frankly, I do think they are loosing their focus. (What were they smoking when they built Google Lively, yet another online virtual world???) But this deal makes sense and I hope the DoJ doesn’t block this.

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Yahoo Calls BS!

July 7, 2008

in General

Anyone following the "Will Microsoft ask Yahoo to get married" drama are already familiar with Carl Icahn, who started a school yard proxy fight over the future of Yahoo.

Today, Yahoo posted an open letter to Carl Icahn:

Yahoo!’s Board of Directors continues to stand ready to enter into
negotiations with Microsoft Corporation for an acquisition of Yahoo!.
Indeed, as recently as June, Yahoo!’s independent directors and
management approached Steve Ballmer
about just such a transaction, only to be told that Microsoft was no
longer interested even in the price range which they had previously
proposed. Now Mr. Ballmer and Mr. Icahn have teamed up in an apparent
effort to force Yahoo! into selling to Microsoft its Search business at
a price to be determined in a future "negotiation" between Mr. Icahn’s
directors and Microsoft’s management. We feel very strongly that this
would not lead to an outcome that would be in the best interests of
Yahoo!’s stockholders. If Microsoft and Mr. Ballmer really want to
purchase Yahoo!, we again invite them to make a proposal immediately.
And if Mr. Icahn has an actual plan for Yahoo! beyond hoping that
Microsoft might actually consummate a deal which they have repeatedly
walked away from, we would be very interested in hearing it.

I believe that is Yahoo telling Mr. Icahn where he can stick it. While this type of bickering usually weakens a company in the long run, I think it’s actually good for Yahoo. The big Y has been stagnant for too long, and this may be what finally gets the passion back for them.

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Microsoft has made an "unsolicited" $45 billion bid for Yahoo! in a cash and stock swap. This was a deal a long time coming and frankly, isn’t a surprise for anyone in the industry. Microsoft and Yahoo have been seen flirting at the dance before.

Why now? Both are concerned with Google’s ever increasing dominance in the search space. This purchase would be a merging of armies to take on Google. And considering Yahoo’s inability to gain traction after their executive reorg last year, its perfect timing on Microsoft’s part.

Here’s the thing: If Yahoo wants to sell, this is the best deal they will ever get. Other than Google, Microsoft is the only other company rich enough to buy Yahoo. Google would never buy them and Microsoft would never offer a true merger among equals. Yahoo-Soft? Micro-hoo? No way.

But, should they do it?

In order to beat an opponent like Google, you have to be ready to fight like hell. Yahoo stopped fighting 3 years ago. Microsoft, on the other hand, loves a good fight.

This bid might have been unsolicitied, but Yahoo has already considered this option. It’s already been throughly discusssed on how to approach a bid by Microsoft. In fact, it says so in their press release:

SUNNYVALE, Calif., Feb 01, 2008 (BUSINESS WIRE) –Yahoo! Inc. (Nasdaq:YHOO), a leading global Internet company, today said that it has received an unsolicited proposal from Microsoft to acquire the Company. The Company said that its Board of Directors will evaluate this proposal carefully and promptly in the context of Yahoo!’s strategic plans and pursue the best course of action to maximize long-term value for shareholders.

The last sentence says it all. Get ready for a sale.

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